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589 forecasters
Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Feb 19, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolved:Jan 5, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2020