The 2020 summer Olympics are scheduled to take place in Tokyo, Japan from July 24 to August 9, 2020. Unfortunately Japan is one of the countries experiencing an outbreak of COVID-19. Furthermore if the outbreak worsens in other locations, the international crowds of the Olympics could be a threat by spreading the virus.

Will the 2020 Tokyo Olympics be cancelled due to this threat?

The question resolves negative if the Olympics takes place on the originally scheduled location and dates, with at least half the events originally planned and at least half the countries represented who originally accepted. If the event is cancelled, the date is moved, the venue is moved away from Tokyo and surrounding areas or over half the events are cancelled or half the countries back out, and a stated reason for the change is COVID-19 (as judged by Metaculus), it resolves positive.