Question

Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025?

Resolved:No

9 comments9

Total Forecasters178

Community Prediction

1.4%

(1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1.4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

22.4

Community Baseline Score

93.3

Authors:

draaglom

Opened:

May 12, 2025

Closes:

Jul 1, 2025

Resolves:

Sep 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

May 14, 2025

Are Trump’s Tariffs Still In Effect? Here’s What To Know.

Forbes•Aug 30, 2025

Trump Facing 'Self-Inflicted Disaster,' Nobel Prize-Winning Economist Says

Newsweek•Aug 30, 2025

What happens to Trump’s tariffs now that a federal appeals court has knocked them down?

Associated Press•Aug 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US government order the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or NASDAQ to be closed before January 20, 2029?

Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?

Will the Trump administration impose significant federal price controls before Jan 20, 2029?

66%