Question

Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters178

Community Prediction

(1% - 4%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:

draaglom

Opened:

May 12, 2025

Closed:

Jul 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Sep 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 1, 2025

Trump's 10%–50% Tariff Regime Takes Effect Amid Global Trade Shifts

•Aug 7, 2025

Clarity On Tariffs Could Unleash Animal Spirits

Forbes•Aug 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US government order the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or NASDAQ to be closed before January 20, 2029?

Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?

Will the Trump administration impose significant federal price controls before Jan 20, 2029?

65%

Authors:

draaglom

Opened:

May 12, 2025

Closed:

Jul 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Sep 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 1, 2025

Trump's 10%–50% Tariff Regime Takes Effect Amid Global Trade Shifts

•Aug 7, 2025

Clarity On Tariffs Could Unleash Animal Spirits

Forbes•Aug 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US government order the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or NASDAQ to be closed before January 20, 2029?

Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?

Will the Trump administration impose significant federal price controls before Jan 20, 2029?

65%