41
133 forecasters
Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025?
ResolvedYes
Tariff mentions decreasing since May 2025
Increases Likelihood
BRICS summit could drive tariff discussions
Decreases Likelihood
Other world events take center stage
Increases Likelihood
June likely less tariff-focused than May
Increases Likelihood
Five fewer days to achieve a resolution
Decreases Likelihood
No accelerating rate of no tariff mentions
Decreases Likelihood
Odds vary from 50% to 98% dependent on assumptions
Decreases Likelihood