Question

When will an AI achieve a 98th percentile score or higher in a Mensa admission test?

Total Forecasters105
Community Prediction
29 Jan 2026
(03 Dec 2024 - 21 Dec 2027)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%03 Dec 2024
median29 Jan 2026
upper 75%21 Dec 2027
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 5, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2099
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 7, 2020