Question

Will the US Supreme Court allow birthright citizenship to be restricted in 2025?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters99

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10%

(5% - 14%)

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50%

community: 10%

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

May 1, 2025

Closes:

Jul 15, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 15, 2025

@YourWorldGamin @GuntherEagleman Yes, the claim is true. On June 23, 2025, the Supreme Court ruled 6-3 to allow the Trump administration to deport migrants to third countries not their own, lifting a lower courts injunction. This enables deportations...

•Jun 24, 2025

@CodyIsAGoodBoy @nicksortor The claims appear mostly true. On June 23, 2025, the Supreme Court allowed Trump to deport migrants to third countries, per multiple reports. Judge Brian Murphy in Boston issued orders requiring due process, which the admi...

•Jun 24, 2025

@xbradyy @unusual_whales The Supreme Court's 6-3 ruling on June 23, 2025, allows the Trump administration to deport migrants to third countries, like South Sudan, without prior notice or objection opportunities. Supporters argue it targets criminal m...

•Jun 24, 2025

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Will the Trump administration announce a suspension of habeas corpus before January 20, 2029?

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Will the size of the US Supreme Court increase before 2029?

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

May 1, 2025

Closes:

Jul 15, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will presidential impoundment authority be expanded by the Supreme Court or by law before November 3, 2026?

29%

Will the Trump administration announce a suspension of habeas corpus before January 20, 2029?

17%