Question

Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025?

9
17
262 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 124

Make a Prediction

EntityMe
ResolvedContested
98.2%
Israel
1%
Hamas
0.5%
Palestinian Authority / Fatah
0.1%
International Government
0.1%
Shared Power
0.1%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?Contested

Community Peer Score
55.7
Community Baseline Score
80.6
Authors:
Opened:May 12, 2025
Closes:Sep 1, 2025
Resolves:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 14, 2025