262 forecasters

Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025?

Contestedresult: Yes

Israel1%

Hamas0.5%

Forecast Timeline

Contested

Israel

Hamas

Others (3)

Authors:

Opened:

May 12, 2025

Closes:

Sep 1, 2025

Resolved:

Sep 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

May 14, 2025

Metaculus Cup Summer 2025

Israel-Gaza Conflict

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