Question

Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025?

10
12
184 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 169

Make a Prediction

EntityMe
Israel
23%
Hamas
6.1%
Palestinian Authority / Fatah
1%
International Government
1%
Shared Power
1%
Contested
67.9%
Total: ?
(? remaining)
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:May 12, 2025
Closes:Sep 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 1, 2025