Question

Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025?

9
13
237 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 119

Make a Prediction

EntityMe
Israel
16.2%
Hamas
1%
Palestinian Authority / Fatah
0.3%
International Government
0.1%
Shared Power
0.2%
Contested
82.1%
Total: ?
(? remaining)
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:May 12, 2025
Closes:Sep 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Sep 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 1, 2025