Question
What will be the ratio of fatalities to total estimated infections for COVID-19 by the end of 2020?
Resolved:0.004156Total Forecasters363
Community Prediction
0.00587
(0.00393 - 0.00874)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0.001 | 1.6% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 0.003929 | — |
| median | 0.005867 | — |
| upper 75% | 0.008744 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >0.1 | 0.7% | — |
What was the final result?0.004156
Community Peer Score
39.9
Community Baseline Score
23.5
Authors:
Opened:Mar 5, 2020
Closes:Aug 31, 2020
Resolves:May 6, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 6, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Mar 5, 2020
Closes:Aug 31, 2020
Resolves:May 6, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 6, 2020