351 comments
363 forecasters
What will be the ratio of fatalities to total estimated infections for COVID-19 by the end of 2020?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 5, 2020
Closes:Aug 31, 2020
Resolved:May 6, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 6, 2020
How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?
32.3k deaths
(23.1k - 60.8k)
32.3k deaths
(23.1k - 60.8k)
71 forecasters
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
115k deaths/year
(87.5k - 206k)
115k deaths/year
(87.5k - 206k)
87 forecasters
If at least 200 human cases of H5 are confirmed in the United States before 2026, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
0.864%
(0.427 - 1.4)
0.864%
(0.427 - 1.4)
41 forecasters