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How many COVID-19 cases in the US federal legislature will be publicly reported before 2021?

Cross-posted on Metaculus: Pandemics.

Multiple high-ranking government figures in Iran have contracted the 2019 novel coronavirus, and China and South Korea have cancelled meetings of their legislative bodies in order to prevent the spread of coronavirus among lawmakers. When cases appear in Washington DC, the United States might do the same, or it might not.

This question asks: How many infections of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) will be estimated to have occurred among sitting US Representatives and Senators before January 1, 2021?

There are currently 430 US Representatives, 5 vacant Representative seats, and 100 US Senators. To be counted, a particular Representative or Senator must be reported by a credible news source to have had a positive test result for COVID-19, or to have died of COVID-19 while serving in the House or Senate.


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