Question

Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates before July 1, 2025?

Resolved:No

86 comments86

Total Forecasters79

Community Prediction

20%

(15% - 35%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

10.3

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

May 14, 2025

Closes:

May 14, 2025

Resolves:

Jul 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

May 14, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2025 Leaderboard

What To Expect On Interest Rates For The Remainder Of 2025

Forbes•Aug 3, 2025

July Fed Meeting: Updates and Commentary

•Aug 2, 2025

Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady, though two Fed governors dissent

•Jul 31, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?

80%

What will the US effective fed funds rate be in the following years?

4.02

Will a new Federal Open Markets Committee member be appointed before any member's term is over and before January 20, 2029?

77%

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

May 14, 2025

Closes:

May 14, 2025

Resolves:

Jul 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

May 14, 2025

Include Bots:Yes

Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2025 Leaderboard

What To Expect On Interest Rates For The Remainder Of 2025

Forbes•Aug 3, 2025

July Fed Meeting: Updates and Commentary

•Aug 2, 2025

Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady, though two Fed governors dissent

•Jul 31, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?

80%

What will the US effective fed funds rate be in the following years?

4.02

Will a new Federal Open Markets Committee member be appointed before any member's term is over and before January 20, 2029?

77%