Question
How many new cases of COVID-19 in the 4th quarter of 2020?
Resolved:47.588363MTotal Forecasters97
Community Prediction
50.7M
(43.8M - 58.6M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1000 | 0.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 43.8M | — |
| median | 50.67M | — |
| upper 75% | 58.62M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1B | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?47.588363M
Community Baseline Score
43.3
Community Peer Score
47.2
Authors:
Opened:Mar 7, 2020
Closes:Dec 14, 2020
Resolves:Jan 3, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 9, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Mar 7, 2020
Closes:Dec 14, 2020
Resolves:Jan 3, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 9, 2020