Question

How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill reduce health insurance coverage?

Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction
16M people
(13.5M people - 20M people)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<00.2%
Quartiles
lower 25%13.47M
median15.98M
upper 75%20.01M
Upper bound
>30M17.1%
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Opened:May 24, 2025
Closes:Oct 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Oct 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 1, 2025