Question

How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill reduce health insurance coverage?

Total Forecasters6
Community Prediction
16.8M people
(14.2M people - 19.6M people)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<00.2%
Quartiles
lower 25%14.24M
median16.82M
upper 75%19.62M
Upper bound
>30M11.6%
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Opened:May 24, 2025
Closes:Oct 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Oct 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 1, 2025