46 comments
199 forecasters
Will the US hold mass-turnout elections for President on schedule in 2020?
93%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 93% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 9, 2020
Closes:Aug 1, 2020
Resolved:Nov 5, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 9, 2020
In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?
5 forecasters
Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?
51% chance
134
What will be the Economist Democracy Index for the United States for 2026?
7.22
(6.91 - 7.59)
7.22
(6.91 - 7.59)
94 forecasters