Question
What will the Metaculus community average log score be for COVID-19 related questions on 20 Jan 2021?
Resolved:0.10775Total Forecasters66
Community Prediction
<0.1
(<0.1 - 0.103)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0.1 | 64.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | <0.1 | — |
| median | <0.1 | — |
| upper 75% | 0.1033 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >0.2 | 0.5% | — |
What was the final result?0.10775
Community Baseline Score
-13.1
Community Peer Score
48.6
Authors:
Opened:Mar 9, 2020
Closes:Oct 1, 2020
Resolves:Jan 23, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 10, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Mar 9, 2020
Closes:Oct 1, 2020
Resolves:Jan 23, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 10, 2020