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Will Tesla offer a self-driving capability on both highways and side streets by the end of 2020, with driver supervision required?
Note that Metaculus already has a separate question about whether Tesla will achieve full level-4/5 self-driving without supervision, but this question is specifically about achieving a reasonably feature-complete version of their supervision-based self-driving approach.
According to the Tesla website, they will support the remaining full self-driving options by the end of 2020, including support for stop lights and automatic driving on city streets. Tesla already offers self-driving on highways with driver supervision.
The current Metaculus estimate about unsupervised self-driving predicts a relatively low probability of success in 2020 (13%), but it would still be a major milestone if a supervised version were made available in this time-frame, hence this question.
By the end of 2020 will Tesla release a system capable of full self-driving across both highways and side streets, at least with driver supervision required?
This question will resolve positive if Tesla rolls out a system meeting the two remaining self-driving bullets listed on its website (linked above) by the end of 2020 as promised, allowing self-driving to extend to side-streets (in addition to highways). The feature descriptions from the Tesla site are
- Recognize and respond to traffic lights and stop signs,
- Automatic driving on city streets.
The release should at least be at the US county level (or at a level that moderators decide is equivalent to that of a US county). It does not need to handle all road/weather conditions and intervention may be required in some circumstances. If no supervision is required, then this question will also resolve positive.
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