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110 forecasters
Will presidential impoundment authority be expanded by the Supreme Court or by law before November 3, 2026?
35%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 1, 2025
Closes:Nov 2, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Nov 3, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 5, 2025
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Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?
2.5% chance
135
Will a US federal court hold any part of the executive branch in contempt for not obeying a Supreme Court ruling, before January 20, 2029?
52% chance
118
Will the size of the US Supreme Court increase before 2029?
5% chance
155