18 forecasters

Will Donald Trump pardon anyone involved in these cases of political violence during his second term?

Paul Pelosi hammer attack2%

Gretchen Whitmer kidnapping plot13%

Josh Shapiro's residence arson attack1.4%

Paul Pelosi hammer attack

Gretchen Whitmer kidnapping plot

Josh Shapiro's residence arson attack

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Authors:

Opened:

Jun 1, 2025

Closes:

Jan 20, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 21, 2029