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4
103
forecasters
2
4 comments
103 forecasters
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
2 more...
Will the White House direct federal agencies to target three or more high-profile presidential critics in the following years?
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2 comments
103 forecasters
Will DOJ leaders deviate to prosecute a presidential opponent in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
58%
2027-2028
71%
6 comments
110 forecasters
Will DOJ leaders deviate to protect the President or his allies in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
59%
2027-2028
64%
4 comments
106 forecasters
Will the US executive order non-enforcement of court orders in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
30%
2027-2028
51%
1 comment
90 forecasters
DOJ to indict high-profile US president opponent in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
Yes
2025-2026
62%
2027-2028
56%
2 comments
110 forecasters
DOJ files charges against journalist under Espionage Act in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
21%
2027-2028
29%
2 comments
97 forecasters
US executive in contempt for not obeying a court ruling in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
result:
Yes
2027-2028
70%
2 comments
110 forecasters
DOJ not act on a criminal contempt of an official served under the president?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
Yes
2025-2026
45%
2027-2028
60%
2 comments
94 forecasters
(Attempted) murder of ≥2 US judges or legislators in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
Yes
2025-2026
result:
Yes
2027-2028
75%