Question

Will the US and China reach a formal agreement to limit frontier AI training or deployment before 2029?

5
0
Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction
10%
(7% - 24%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 10%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
ADQ
Opened:Jun 11, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2028
AI 2027
Artificial Intelligence
Geopolitics