Question
How many US state governors, members of the Supreme Court, and members of Congress will die from COVID-19 in 2020?
Resolved:0Total Forecasters136
Community Prediction
0.859
(0.311 - 2.14)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 0.3114 | — |
| median | 0.8587 | — |
| upper 75% | 2.136 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >50 | 0.3% | — |
What was the final result?0
Community Baseline Score
150.6
Community Peer Score
54.8
Authors:
Opened:Mar 21, 2020
Closes:Oct 1, 2020
Resolves:Jan 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 22, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Mar 21, 2020
Closes:Oct 1, 2020
Resolves:Jan 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 22, 2020