Question

Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025?

3

Total Forecasters91

Community Prediction

15%

(10% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Authors:

Opened:

Jun 14, 2025

Closes:

Jul 11, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 15, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 11, 2025

Iran-Israel Conflict

Will Khamenei accept that its over?

Spectator (UK)•Jun 24, 2025

Iran’s Supreme Leader Reportedly Names Potential Successors In The Event He’s Killed

Daily Caller•Jun 22, 2025

Iran's Khamenei makes preparations for a successor, NY Times reports

•Jun 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2025?

Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025?

Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025?

Authors:

Opened:

Jun 14, 2025

Closes:

Jul 11, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jul 15, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 11, 2025

Iran-Israel Conflict

Will Khamenei accept that its over?

Spectator (UK)•Jun 24, 2025

Iran’s Supreme Leader Reportedly Names Potential Successors In The Event He’s Killed

Daily Caller•Jun 22, 2025

Iran's Khamenei makes preparations for a successor, NY Times reports

•Jun 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2025?

Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025?

Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025?