37
156 forecasters
Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025?
ResolvedYes
Public statements likely due to crisis with Israel
Increases Likelihood
Future video locations likely to remain undisclosed
Decreases Likelihood
Security and threat environment may prevent clear evidence
Decreases Likelihood
Flexibility of video appearances increases likelihood
Increases Likelihood
Khamenei recently confirmed alive and active
Increases Likelihood
Potential retaliation if Khamenei is harmed
Decreases Likelihood