Question

When will 5 gigatons carbon capture in a year at a price of less than $10 per ton be achieved?

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Total Forecasters6

Community Prediction

2056 Year

(2050 Year - >2074 Year)

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PMF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2074
community	2050	2056	>2074	31.0%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	2050	—
median	2056	—
upper 75%	>2074	—
Upper bound
>2074	31.0%	—

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Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jul 9, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2075

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2075

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 1, 2075

Fundamental Development Gap Map

Environment & Climate

When will direct air carbon capture tech cost <$50 (2020 USD) per ton of CO2?

Jun 2040

At the end of 2039, what will be the cost of point-source carbon capture for dilute sources (e.g. coal power plants)?

68.4

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

37.8B

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jul 9, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2075

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2075

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 1, 2075

Fundamental Development Gap Map

Environment & Climate

When will direct air carbon capture tech cost <$50 (2020 USD) per ton of CO2?

Jun 2040

At the end of 2039, what will be the cost of point-source carbon capture for dilute sources (e.g. coal power plants)?

68.4

What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years?

37.8B