conditional
condition

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?

1 forecaster
if yes
if no

What will be the year-over-year growth in the number of employed people in New York City for these years? (2026)

1.54

What will be the year-over-year growth in the number of employed people in New York City for these years? (2026)

1.51
0

Make a Prediction

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?

What will be the year-over-year growth in the number of employed people in New York City for these years? (2026)

PDF

CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<-10%0.1%—
Quartiles
lower 25%-0.5297%—
median1.538%—
upper 75%4.163%—
Upper bound
>10%3.6%—

Forecast Timeline

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:Jun 21, 2025
Closes:Nov 4, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 15, 2027