Question

Will Faith Kipyegon break the 4-minute mile on June 26, 2025?

Resolved:No

4 comments4

Total Forecasters6

Community Prediction

66%

(14% - 66%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 66%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

1.3

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jun 25, 2025

Closes:

Jun 26, 2025

Resolves:

Jun 27, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 26, 2025

Sports & Entertainment

2025 Leaderboard

Faith Kipyegon and Beatrice Chebet smash world records at an extraordinary Diamond League meeting

CNN•Jul 6, 2025

Kipyegon and Chebet set world records at star-studded Prefontaine Classic

Associated Press•Jul 6, 2025

Faith Kipyegon breaks her 1500m world record as Beatrice Chebet smashes 5,000m mark

Guardian•Jul 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the women's world record for a competitive marathon reach below 2 hours?

>Jan 2061

Will the decision to reallocate the bronze medal in the women's floor exercise at the 2024 Paris Olympics from the US to Romania be overturned before 2026?

When will a runner break the 2-hour mark in a competitive marathon?

25 Sep 2027

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jun 25, 2025

Closes:

Jun 26, 2025

Resolves:

Jun 27, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 26, 2025

Sports & Entertainment

2025 Leaderboard

Faith Kipyegon and Beatrice Chebet smash world records at an extraordinary Diamond League meeting

CNN•Jul 6, 2025

Kipyegon and Chebet set world records at star-studded Prefontaine Classic

Associated Press•Jul 6, 2025

Faith Kipyegon breaks her 1500m world record as Beatrice Chebet smashes 5,000m mark

Guardian•Jul 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the women's world record for a competitive marathon reach below 2 hours?

>Jan 2061

Will the decision to reallocate the bronze medal in the women's floor exercise at the 2024 Paris Olympics from the US to Romania be overturned before 2026?

When will a runner break the 2-hour mark in a competitive marathon?

25 Sep 2027