4
61 forecasters
Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?
ResolvedNo
Musk favors Republicans more than Democrats
Decreases Likelihood
Musk's history of bold, unrealized claims
Decreases Likelihood
ease of filing FEC Form 1
Increases Likelihood
Difficulty for 3rd parties to get on ballots
Decreases Likelihood