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10
59
forecasters
11
10 comments
59 forecasters
Geopolitics
Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?
Predict
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51%
chance
Timeline
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Top Key Factors
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Serious warnings from European intelligence and other top brass
Increases Likelihood
6
1
Russian drones violated Polish airspace
Increases Likelihood
7
1
Comments (10)
Timeline
Key Factors (2)
Question Info
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Serious warnings from European intelligence and other top brass
Increases Likelihood
6
1
Russian drones violated Polish airspace
Increases Likelihood
7
1
Add key factor
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35%
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France-Russia military conflict before 2031
15%
chance
0 comments
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75%
chance
10 comments
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Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?
2027
3%
2030
7%
2035
15%