37 forecasters

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

30%chance

Top Key Factors

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 10, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 14, 2025

Airspace violations and drone incursions: How Putin is testing Ukraine’s European allies

Independent•Oct 31, 2025

Airspace violations and drone incursions: How Putin is testing Ukraine’s European allies

Independent•Oct 31, 2025

Europe Needs a United Response to Russia’s Hybrid War

Bloomberg•Oct 30, 2025

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