Question
How many people will be born in the United States in the year 2021?
Resolved:3.664292MTotal Forecasters98
Community Prediction
3.56M
(3.44M - 3.68M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <3M | 1.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 3.443M | — |
| median | 3.56M | — |
| upper 75% | 3.68M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >5M | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?3.664292M
Community Baseline Score
60.3
Community Peer Score
13.2
Authors:
Opened:Mar 27, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolves:Aug 15, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 29, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Mar 27, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolves:Aug 15, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 29, 2020