Question
How many people will be born in the United States in the year 2021?
Resolved:3.664292MTotal Forecasters98
Community Prediction
3.56M
(3.44M - 3.68M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <3M | 1.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 3.443M | — |
| median | 3.56M | — |
| upper 75% | 3.68M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >5M | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?3.664292M
Community Peer Score
13.2
Authors:
Opened:Mar 27, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolves:Aug 15, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 29, 2020
What percent of babies born in the US in 2029 will have been conceived in vitro?
2.79
Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?
9%
By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?
60%
Authors:
Opened:Mar 27, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolves:Aug 15, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 29, 2020
What percent of babies born in the US in 2029 will have been conceived in vitro?
2.79
Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?
9%
By 2050, Will at least 20% of US births be screened as embryos to detect genetic disorders or disabilities?
60%