67 forecasters

Will Rachel Reeves remain UK Chancellor of the Exchequer until December, 2025?

95%chance

4 pp this week

Forecast Timeline

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Authors:

Opened:

Jul 11, 2025

Closes:

Nov 16, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 15, 2025

Current Events⚡

IFS warns Rachel Reeves against ‘half-baked dash for revenue’

Guardian•Oct 13, 2025

Reeves warned against pensions tax raid or wealth tax at budget

Independent•Oct 13, 2025

Rachel Reeves v the OBR: chancellor aims to loosen the watchdog’s grip

Guardian•Oct 11, 2025

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