Question

Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025?

Resolved:Yes

18 comments18

Total Forecasters110

Community Prediction

87%

(83% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 87%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

29.2

Community Baseline Score

2.1

Authors:

ADQ

Opened:

Jul 21, 2025

Closes:

Sep 1, 2025

Resolves:

Sep 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 23, 2025

South Korean prosecutors indict ex-prime minister Han and wife of ousted president Yoon

PBS NewsHour•Aug 30, 2025

Wife and ally of ousted South Korean president indicted by special prosecutors

NBC•Aug 29, 2025

South Korea’s former first lady Kim Keon Hee indicted for bribery

CNN•Aug 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung complete his full term?

77%

Will Rodrigo Duterte be convicted of any crime by the International Criminal Court by 2030?

85%

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

31%

Authors:

ADQ

Opened:

Jul 21, 2025

Closes:

Sep 1, 2025

Resolves:

Sep 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 23, 2025

South Korean prosecutors indict ex-prime minister Han and wife of ousted president Yoon

PBS NewsHour•Aug 30, 2025

Wife and ally of ousted South Korean president indicted by special prosecutors

NBC•Aug 29, 2025

South Korea’s former first lady Kim Keon Hee indicted for bribery

CNN•Aug 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung complete his full term?

77%

Will Rodrigo Duterte be convicted of any crime by the International Criminal Court by 2030?

85%

Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

31%