18
110 forecasters
Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025?
ResolvedYes
Special counsel plans indictment before deadline
Increases Likelihood
Prosecutors building a strong case against Kim
Increases Likelihood
High likelihood of indictment before September 2025
Increases Likelihood
After the warrant, custody lasts up to 10 days, with the possibility of a further 10-day extension
Increases Likelihood
Extension aligns with South Korea's law process
Increases Likelihood
Close to midnight on August 12-August 13, a court issued a (pre-indictment) detention warrant for Kim Keon Hee
Increases Likelihood
Kim's associate indicted for lobbying allegations central to her case
Increases Likelihood