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61 forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet34.6%
OpenAI21.2%
Anthropic18.2%
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Aug 7, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2075
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2076
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 11, 2025
