34 forecasters

Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?

Alphabet34.6%

OpenAI21.6%

Anthropic15.3%

Forecast Timeline

Alphabet

OpenAI

Anthropic

Others (3)

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Authors:

Opened:

Aug 7, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2075

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2076

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 11, 2025