Question
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 26
Make a Prediction
| Entity | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Alphabet | 27.2% | |||
Anthropic | 15.7% | |||
OpenAI | 23.2% | |||
Meta | 14.2% | |||
xAI | 5.2% | |||
Other | 14.5% | |||
Total: ?
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 7, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2075
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2076
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2075
Authors:
Opened:Aug 7, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2075
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2076
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2075