Question

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters118

Community Prediction89%

Make a Prediction

community: 89%

median 89.0%mean 84.0%

Authors:

MaxR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Philosophy

University of California, Berkeley

Artificial general intelligence

OpenAI

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a non-profit corporation?

10%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

10%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a university?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MaxR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Philosophy

University of California, Berkeley

Artificial general intelligence

OpenAI

It will be a while before OpenAI turns a profit. In the meantime, Microsoft gets a cut of revenue.

Business Insider•Oct 10, 2024

Documents show OpenAI’s long journey from nonprofit to $157B valued company

Associated Press•Oct 12, 2024

Changing OpenAI’s nonprofit structure could have big consequences

Associated Press•Oct 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a non-profit corporation?

10%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

10%