70 comments
191 forecasters
Will a recession cause "suicides by the thousands"?
40%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 40% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 28, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2021
Resolved:May 21, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 30, 2020
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What will be the relative severity of the next US depression, compared to the Great Depression?
0.42
(0.221 - 0.875)
0.42
(0.221 - 0.875)
59 forecasters
Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?
93 forecasters
What will be the US unemployment rate after the next volatile market episode?
7.4%
(5.87 - 9.31)
7.4%
(5.87 - 9.31)
14 forecasters