Question

Will the United States and China sign a formal, verifiable bilateral treaty or accord specifically limiting Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) development by December 31, 2030?

Total Forecasters4
Community Prediction

Make a Prediction

50%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Opened:Aug 19, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 1, 2031