🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the US unemployment rate for April 2020?

Resolved :14.716.9
13
32
Total Forecasters102
Community Prediction16.9 (14.9 - 19.3)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
<1
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>40
...
...
...
...
...
0.8%
14.91
16.93
19.26
0.4%

What was the final result?14.7

Community Baseline Score
68.3
Community Peer Score
13.4
Authors:
metani
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Health & Pandemics
Economy & Business
2020 Leaderboard
United States
Unemployment in the US
Bureau of Labor Statistics

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