14 comments
176 forecasters

Will Paul Biya be reelected President of Cameroon in 2025?

97%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 97% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Top Key Factors
Biya controls electoral and judicial bodies
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
9 votes
Opposition disqualification and fragmentation
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
8 votes
Powerful incumbency guarantees Biya's election win
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
8 votes
Health risk due to advanced age
Impact
Decreases Likelihood
Strength
9 votes