Question

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction

Make a Prediction

50%

Authors:

ADQ

Opened:

Sep 1, 2025

Closes:

Dec 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 4, 2025

Metaculus Cup Fall 2025

Geopolitics

USS Lake Erie Crosses Panama Canal As Trump's Caribbean Buildup Continues

Newsweek•Aug 30, 2025

U.S. guided-missile cruiser spotted crossing the Panama Canal after warships deployed to Venezuela

CBS•Aug 30, 2025

Will Venezuela Be the First Target of Trump's New MAGA Monroe Doctrine?

Newsweek•Aug 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

65%

Will the USA invade Mexico and acknowledge that invasion before January 20, 2029?

Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates?

Authors:

ADQ

Opened:

Sep 1, 2025

Closes:

Dec 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 4, 2025

Metaculus Cup Fall 2025

Geopolitics

USS Lake Erie Crosses Panama Canal As Trump's Caribbean Buildup Continues

Newsweek•Aug 30, 2025

U.S. guided-missile cruiser spotted crossing the Panama Canal after warships deployed to Venezuela

CBS•Aug 30, 2025

Will Venezuela Be the First Target of Trump's New MAGA Monroe Doctrine?

Newsweek•Aug 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

65%