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104 forecasters
Will Elon Musk's million-dollar giveaway to register voters be considered illegal on December 31, 2025?
17.3%chance
This question is closed for predictions.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 10, 2025
Closed:Oct 10, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 10, 2025
Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted
Include Bots:Yes
Will Elon Musk's million-dollar giveaway to register voters be considered illegal on December 31, 2025?
5% chance
52
Will the US government file a denaturalization lawsuit against Elon Musk before July 1, 2026?
0.1% chance
60
Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?
10% chance
89