48 comments
679 forecasters
A restaurant serving cultured meat by 2021?
73%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 73% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 5, 2017
Closes:Jan 1, 2019
Resolved:Dec 19, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 6, 2017
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?
24 Feb 2027
(01 Jul 2025 - 19 Aug 2029)
24 Feb 2027
(01 Jul 2025 - 19 Aug 2029)
45 forecasters
Will McDonald's be the first top global QSR to feature a cultivated meat product on their menu before 2027?
8% chance
77
What proportion of well-known QSRs will offer a cultivated meat product in 2026?
0.0307%
(0.00667 - 0.163)
0.0307%
(0.00667 - 0.163)
62 forecasters