101 forecasters

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?

12%chance

This question is closed for predictions.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 8, 2025

Closed:

Oct 8, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 8, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Include Bots:Yes