74 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 17.00% on 2025-09-10 for the Metaculus question "Will combat troops from NATO countries be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?"?

35%chance

35%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 35% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

AutoQuestionsBot

Opened:

Sep 1, 2025

Closes:

Sep 1, 2025

Resolved:

Sep 10, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 1, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Include Bots:Yes

Thousands in Poland sign up for military training over fears of Russia attack

New York Post•Sep 13, 2025

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Al Jazeera•Sep 11, 2025

Ukraine Is 'Buying Europe Time' To Prepare Defense

Newsweek•Sep 5, 2025

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