73
140 forecasters
Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?
Together for the Republicresult: Yes
Republican Right3.5%
Other6%
No Prime Minister12.6%
Short term left-wing government?
Increases Likelihood for Socialists and affiliated
New discussions around Lecornu in the next 48 hours
Increases Likelihood for Together for the Republic
Potential for dissolution if new PM isn't found
Decreases Likelihood for Together for the Republic
Favorites are close to the President, part of Together or Other
Increases Likelihood for Together for the Republic
Very unlikely but not impossible resignation from Macron before EOY
Decreases Likelihood for Together for the Republic
Several parties asking for a dissolution, makes the RN more likely
Increases Likelihood for National Rally