44 forecasters

Will the U.S. House maps for the following years give any major party an efficiency-gap advantage of ≥20 seats nationwide?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

2025-202618%

2027-2028

2025-2026

2023-2024

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 4, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2029

U.S. Democracy Threat Index

Trump urged GOP-led states to redraw US House districts. Now other states also are gerrymandering

Associated Press•Oct 28, 2025

Two More Blue States Could Redraw Their Congressional Maps: What To Know

Newsweek•Oct 24, 2025

Virginia Democrats Want To Redraw Their Maps, Too — As Congressional Redistricting Battle Ramps Up

Forbes•Oct 24, 2025

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