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20 comments
143 forecasters

Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?

12%chance
12%chance
ResolvedYes
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 12% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Top Key Factors
Sandy 2012 and Wilma 2005 (and others?) happened after October 15
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
4 votes
Atlantic conditions above average, but not exceptional
Impact
Decreases Likelihood
Strength
1 vote
Category 5 hurricanes are uncommon
Impact
Decreases Likelihood
Strength
2 votes
Hurricane odds decrease after October
Impact
Decreases Likelihood
Strength
3 votes
Authors:
darkives
Opened:Sep 22, 2025
Closes:Oct 30, 2025
Resolved:Oct 27, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 27, 2025
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How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

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