116 forecasters

Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?

10%chance

4 pp this week

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 22, 2025

Closes:

Oct 30, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 27, 2025

Metaculus Cup Fall 2025

Environment & Climate

Hurricane Humberto, Storm 9 Spaghetti Models As Warnings Issued

Newsweek•Sep 28, 2025

Hurricane Humberto grows to Category 5, could bring life-threatening surf off East Coast

NBC•Sep 28, 2025

Double hurricanes threaten East Coast as Humberto explodes into Category 5 monster

Daily Mail•Sep 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch